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25 NFL Season Long Player Props to Attack

While most offshore books are apparently waiting for camp to open, those living in New Jersey and Nevada have been treated to a steady diet of NFL season-long props over the last few weeks.

Our analysts in the Bet the Prop Slack chat have been hard at work studying these lines and identifying the softest ones to attack. In particular, New Jersey residents and player prop sharps John Lapinski and Jeremy Cohen have been hammering the lines being offered by Ceasars (NV & NJ), Boragata, FanDuel, DraftKings, BetStars, & Bet America (NJ only).

Here, courtesy of John Lapinski, is a table packed with 25 NFL season-long props that we’ve bet so far. I’ll follow up with a few notes on some of our favorites.

Note that some of these lines may have moved from what’s listed here; where applicable, John has noted the new line. We wanted to give our subscribers first crack at these soft lines before putting them out to the public.

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25 Season Long Player Props

AddedPlayerStatOver/UnderPricePlayUnitsCurrent O/UCurrent PricePlayBook
3/19/2019Odell Beckham JrRec yds1100.5-125Over1
4/10/2019JuJu > Antonio BrownRec yds1152115FanDuel
4/10/2019JuJu > Antonio BrownTDs1751175FanDuel
4/28/2019Kyler MurrayPass Yds3100.5-120Over3N/AN/AN/AFanDuel
6/14/2019Amari CooperMost Rec yds35000.23500BetAmerica
6/26/2019Kyler MurrayTotal TDs20.5-110Over2N/AN/AN/APointsBet
6/26/2019Kyler MurrayPass Yds3150.5-110Over2N/AN/AN/ADraftKings
6/27/2019Aaron JonesRu Yds1099.5-110Under11085.5-110UnderCaesars
6/27/2019Kenny GolladayRec Yds1119.5-110Under11067.5-110Caesars
6/27/2019Mike DavisRu Yds461.5-110Under1422.5-110Caesars
6/27/2019Geronimo AllisonRec Yds799.5-110Under1799.5-110UnderCaesars
6/27/2019Nick ChubbRu Yds999.5-110Over11079.5-110Caesars
6/27/2019Stefon DiggsRec Yds999.5-110Under1999.5-110UnderCaesars
6/27/2019Adam ThielenRec Yds1212.5-110Under11157.5-110Caesars
6/27/2019Kerryon JohnsonRu Yds908.5-110Over1945.5-110Caesars
6/27/2019Tarik CohenTotal TDs7.5-110Under17.5-140Caesars
6/28/2019Deshaun WatsonMVP35000.23500Borgata
6/28/2019Derrick HenryMost Rush Yds32000.41700FanDuel
6/28/2019Carson WentzMost Pass Yds30000.22300FanDuel
6/29/2019D.J. MooreReceptions59.5-110Over368.5-125Caesars
7/14/2019Carson WentzPass Yds3628.5-110Over23628.5-110OverCaesars
7/14/2019Dak PrescottPass Yds3499.5-110Over13499.5-110OverCaesars
7/14/2019Phillip LindsayRu Yds967.5-110Under1967.5-110UnderCaesars
7/14/2019Kenny StillsRec Yds649.5-110Over1649.5-110OverCaesars
7/15/19Andrew LuckPass Yds4736.5-118Under34736.5-118UnderBetStars

Notes

  • Kyler Murray overs may be the favorite prop bet among our group of analysts. And that’s saying something from a crew that generally leans unders on any season-long prop. The line keeps creeping up, but Mike Clay, whose projections are usually conservative, pegs Murray at 3,875 passing yards, leaving some value on the table.

  • Getting plus odds on Juju Smith-Schuster to have more receiving yards than Antonio Brown might be one of the biggest non-Combine missteps we’ve seen from bookmakers this offseason.
  • DJ Moore’s receptions O/U opened at 59.5, and after we pointed out on Twitter why that was an atrocious line, the total jumped by 9 full receptions. I still think he goes over 68.5, but that is a solid line.

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